BizIdea

MICROBEAM health-tech Scan 2026-06-15 to 2026-06-15 Run 20260616000043

Launch OS for cancer centers commissioning compact microbeam radiotherapy and running first immune-combination programs.

Shrinking microbeam radiotherapy from a synchrotron installation to a sub-10-square-metre system does not make a cancer center clinically ready. Early adopter sites still need to translate a novel beam modality into commissioning plans, patient-selection rules, tumor-board decisions, combination-therapy timing, and regulator-ready evidence, yet today's tooling is split across generic treatment-planning software, physicist spreadsheets, CTMS systems, and vendor documents.

Overall rating 3.6 / 5.0
  1. 2
    Market

    $75.0M TAM and $9.0M SAM make this a narrow launch-software niche, even with radiotherapy volumes up 16% and four mapped incumbents.

  2. 4
    Differentiation

    Vendor-neutral launch orchestration across commissioning, QA, protocol ops, and evidence capture fills gaps that TPS, OIS, CTMS, and OEM tools leave open.

  3. 4
    Execution

    Hiring and milestones are specific, and modeled 72% gross margin, 7.8x LTV/CAC, and 5.1-month payback look strong, though four flagged assumptions remain.

  4. 5
    Timeliness

    Same-day seed funding, a first clinical prototype, an end-2028 patient target, and a sub-10-square-metre footprint make timing unusually current.

Section

Why now

  1. An oversubscribed seed round funding the first clinical prototype means microbeam is moving out of lab-only mode and into hospital launch planning.
  2. A stated end-2028 first-patient goal gives early centers a finite window to line up commissioning, governance, and first-case workflows.
  3. If microbeam is meant to improve chemotherapy and immunotherapy effectiveness, radiation oncology can no longer deploy it as a stand-alone machine project.
  4. Compressing a synchrotron-scale beamline into under 10 square metres shifts the bottleneck from giant infrastructure to clinical execution inside real cancer centers.
  5. Additional preclinical and regulatory work makes structured QA and evidence capture immediate requirements for every early site and protocol.

Catalyst. CollimateHealth's funded clinical prototype, sub-10-square-metre footprint goal, and end-2028 first-patient target make site-readiness and first-case orchestration immediate bottlenecks.

Section

The idea

The product gives an early-adopter center a dedicated workspace for taking microbeam from feasibility to first patient. It links commissioning tasks, dosimetry and QA checklists, protocol milestones, tumor-board eligibility decisions, and systemic-therapy scheduling in one timeline that both physics and clinical teams can use. For each candidate, it produces a structured treatment packet with site-readiness status, patient-fit criteria, beam-plan checkpoints, and immune-monitoring tasks instead of scattering that information across email and spreadsheets. For leadership, it shows launch-critical metrics such as time to commissioning, protocol bottlenecks, and case-conversion rates. Over time, the company builds a proprietary dataset on how novel radiotherapy programs move from prototype to clinical routine across centers and indications.

What's different. Generic radiotherapy planning systems handle beam calculations, CTMS vendors handle study administration, and device OEMs provide fragmented commissioning support, but none of them owns the cross-functional launch workflow for a brand-new radiation modality. This company sits in the narrow but strategic layer between machine readiness and patient treatment, where physics QA, oncology coordination, and regulator-grade evidence must converge. Defensibility comes from a multi-center dataset on launch timelines, early-case workflows, combination-protocol patterns, and operational outcomes that single-site tools and single-vendor stacks cannot easily replicate.

Startup thesis
Beachhead Academic cancer centers in Europe and North America with proton or other advanced-radiotherapy programs, an in-house medical physics team, and plans to evaluate one of the first compact microbeam installations for refractory solid-tumor studies before 2028
Wedge A microbeam launch OS that manages site commissioning, patient-fit review, combo-therapy scheduling, QA sign-offs, and regulator-ready evidence capture for each early case
Non-obvious insight Once the machine fits inside a hospital, the scarce asset is no longer exotic beam access; it is the operating system that lets physicists, radiation oncologists, and medical oncologists commission the modality and run first-in-human cases without reinventing the workflow each time. Most observers see a hardware moonshot, but the nearer-term wedge is the program-launch layer that turns microbeam from a prototype into a repeatable clinical service.
Venture-scale path Start with microbeam launch programs, then expand into FLASH, spatially fractionated proton therapy, and other novel radiation modalities, becoming the control plane for advanced radiotherapy deployment, registry evidence, and multi-site referral operations.
Target user
Primary user Chief medical physicist or translational radiation oncology program manager at an academic cancer center preparing one of the first compact microbeam therapy programs
Secondary user Radiation oncologists and clinical trial coordinators designing microbeam plus immunotherapy protocols for refractory solid-tumor patients
Economic buyer Chair of radiation oncology, cancer center COO, or director of oncology service-line innovation
Go-to-market seed
First customer A DACH or Swiss academic cancer center with a proton or experimental radiotherapy program, a strong in-house medical physics group, and a signed evaluation project for a compact microbeam system or related translational study
Buying trigger A decision to host a first clinical prototype, open a preclinical-to-clinical microbeam program, or design a radiation-plus-immunotherapy pilot that crosses physics and medical oncology teams
Current alternative Generic treatment-planning software, physicist spreadsheets, paper QA binders, CTMS tools, and vendor professional services
Switching reason The launch OS gives one cross-functional system for commissioning, patient selection, and evidence capture that incumbents split across disconnected tools, reducing launch delay and audit risk.
Pricing hypothesis Annual enterprise subscription per cancer center plus a one-time modality-launch fee and optional evidence or benchmarking modules by active protocol

Jobs to be done

Job Current alternative Success metric
When my center commits to a compact microbeam program, help us commission the system and align physics, oncology, and governance milestones, so we can reach first patient without workflow chaos. Vendor documents, spreadsheets, email threads, and generic project-management tools Days from program kickoff to commission-ready status and first treated patient
When we evaluate a refractory solid-tumor patient for microbeam plus systemic therapy, help us assemble the right evidence, approvals, and scheduling plan, so we can treat eligible patients safely and learn from each case. Tumor-board notes, CTMS records, manual QA checklists, and ad hoc coordination calls Percentage of candidates turned into complete and on-time treatment packets
Microbeam program launch loop
flowchart LR
  Buyer[Cancer center launch team] --> Pain[Disconnected commissioning and first-case workflow]
  Pain --> Product[Microbeam launch OS]
  Product --> Outcome[Faster clinical readiness and cleaner early evidence]
Idea scorecard — average4.2 / 5 · 5axes
Signal4/5Pain4/5Wedge5/5Defense4/5Scale4/5
  • Signal · 4/5The cluster combines an official same-day release, corroborating reports, a funded prototype milestone, and a concrete first-patient timeline.
  • Pain · 4/5Early centers face real operational and regulatory pain because disconnected launch workflows can delay first treatments and weaken evidence quality.
  • Wedge · 5/5A microbeam program-launch OS for academic cancer centers is a narrow entry product with a clear buyer, trigger, and first workflow.
  • Defense · 4/5Cross-center commissioning data, workflow templates, and early-outcomes evidence can compound into switching costs that generic planning tools lack.
  • Scale · 4/5The first wedge is niche, but it can expand across multiple novel radiotherapy modalities, research networks, and evidence products.
Business model canvas
Key partners
  • Academic radiation oncology centers
  • Novel radiotherapy OEMs
  • Medical physics consultants and QA groups
  • Oncology trial networks
Key activities
  • Configure commissioning and evidence workflows
  • Coordinate first-case and combination-treatment operations
  • Benchmark readiness and rollout performance across sites
  • Extend support to adjacent radiotherapy modalities
Key resources
  • Novel-modality commissioning workflow engine
  • Dataset on launch timelines, QA milestones, and case outcomes
  • Integrations into treatment-planning and clinical-trial systems
  • Medical physics and radiation oncology domain expertise
Value propositions
  • Shorten time from prototype arrival to first treated patient
  • Unify physics QA, patient selection, and combination-therapy coordination
  • Produce regulator-ready evidence and launch benchmarks
Customer relationships
  • High-touch launch implementation
  • Weekly commissioning and case-review workflows
  • Expansion into additional modalities and sites
Channels
  • Founder-led sales to radiation oncology chairs and chief medical physicists
  • Co-selling with novel radiotherapy device makers
  • Early-access pilots with academic cancer centers and translational consortia
Customer segments
  • Academic cancer centers launching microbeam programs
  • Novel radiotherapy device makers commercializing compact systems
  • Multi-site oncology research networks standardizing advanced radiotherapy rollout
Cost structure
  • Clinical implementation and customer success
  • Product and integration engineering
  • Regulatory, compliance, and security
  • Medical physics and oncology domain expertise
Revenue streams
  • Annual cancer-center subscription
  • Modality-launch implementation fees
  • Premium benchmarking and evidence modules
Section

Market

Market sizing
TAMSAMSOM TAM · Total addressable $75.0M SAM · Serviceable available $9.0M SOM · Serviceable obtainable $3.6M
Market sizing overview
TAM $75.0M Estimated as ~250 global advanced-radiotherapy launch sites (anchored by 128 particle-therapy facilities in operation, NCI and EU comprehensive-cancer-centre infrastructure, and resource/staffing screens) × $300k blended annual platform spend.
SAM $9.0M Estimated as 30 Europe/North America beachhead centers with proton or translational advanced-radiotherapy programs likely to evaluate compact microbeam before 2028 × $300k ACV.
SOM $3.6M Estimated as 8 reachable design-partner sites by year 3 via OEM and consortium channels × $450k first-year spend (subscription plus launch fee).

Executive takeaways

  • The credible near-term market is not broad radiotherapy IT; it is the narrow launch layer for a small set of advanced centers commissioning novel modalities and collecting first-case evidence.
  • The wedge is strategically attractive because incumbents split the workflow across treatment planning, oncology information systems, CTMS, and manual QA practices rather than owning cross-functional launch orchestration.
  • Category timing is the dominant risk: compact microbeam hardware is moving toward the clinic, but clinical indication fit and operating norms are still being formed.
  • The venture case improves materially only if the product expands from microbeam into FLASH, compact proton, MR-guided, and other novel-radiotherapy rollout programs once the first workflow templates are proven.

Market definition

A control-plane software layer for commissioning novel radiotherapy programs and converting early patient cases into repeatable, audit-ready operations.

Customer and buyer

Primary users are chief medical physicists and translational program managers; economic buyers are department chairs, cancer-center operators, and innovation leaders funding new modality launches.

Buying triggers

  • A center decides to host or evaluate a compact microbeam system, turning modality readiness into a cross-functional launch program instead of a physics-only project. [1][2][3][4]
  • A translational site opens or expands an MR-linac, proton, or registry-heavy advanced-radiotherapy program and needs repeatable implementation playbooks. [17][18][19][20]
  • Leadership needs regulator-ready QA, protocol, and case-review evidence rather than ad hoc binders, spreadsheets, and siloed systems. [21][22][23]

Willingness to pay

Centers already absorb meaningful staffing and coordination burden to launch advanced modalities, so a workflow layer that compresses chart review, protocol coordination, and QA handoffs can plausibly win budget from program-launch or clinical-innovation spend even without replacing incumbent TPS or EHR systems. [19][20][21][30][31]

Category dynamics

Growth signal 16% cumulative increase in European radiotherapy treatment courses by 2025

Tailwinds

  • The advanced-radiotherapy installed base is still expanding, with PTCOG showing both a large operating base and a meaningful construction pipeline.
  • Compact-source MRT work is explicitly focused on shrinking synchrotron-only delivery into hospital-footprint systems.
  • Novel-modality communities increasingly organize around registries, consortia, and shared implementation evidence rather than site-by-site improvisation.

Headwinds

  • MRT is still a preclinical-to-translational modality, so indications, endpoints, and routine operating assumptions are not settled.
  • Even well-funded advanced-radiotherapy programs face staffing, throughput, and change-management friction during rollout.

Validation signals

  • CollimateHealth has already raised seed capital to build a clinical prototype and continue regulatory/preclinical work.
  • PTCOG still shows both a large operating base and a meaningful construction pipeline for particle therapy centers.
  • The MR-Linac Consortium and MOMENTUM show that advanced-modality sites accept shared implementation registries and harmonized workflows.
  • Centers are already building home-grown QA workflow infrastructure such as QATrack+ when vendor systems do not cover launch requirements.

Regulatory & technical constraints

  • If the launch OS starts making patient-specific clinical recommendations, medical-device compliance burden rises materially under EU law.
  • Cross-site patient and workflow data sharing must meet health-data privacy controls, especially when U.S. and EU centers are compared or benchmarked together.
  • Early modality launches are likely to sit inside formal studies or registries, so protocol versioning, audit trails, and investigator-ready evidence capture are mandatory.
  • The software must interoperate with existing TPS, OIS, and QA programs rather than forcing centers to swap out entrenched clinical systems.
Novel radiotherapy launch workflow map
← Generic workflow Novel-modality specific → ← Back-office coordination First-patient critical → Q2 Q1 · winning zone Q3 Q4 OnCore-Epic Varian-Elekta RaySearch OEM-services Proposed-startup
Section

Competition

Competition is fragmented rather than direct: planning and record systems own treatment workflows, CTMS and EHR tools own protocol administration, and OEM or in-house teams own the first-site launch checklist.

Competitor Stage Wedge Pricing Strength Weakness vs. us
RaySearch incumbent Integrated TPS plus modern OIS for advanced radiotherapy workflows. Custom enterprise pricing (not public). Deep credibility in advanced planning and digital workflow inside radiation oncology. Not purpose-built for first-program commissioning, multidisciplinary launch operations, or modality-agnostic evidence capture.
Siemens Healthineers / Varian incumbent Dominant oncology information, planning, and adaptive-treatment stack across the treatment journey. Custom enterprise pricing (not public). Large installed base and tight connection to treatment delivery, records, and adaptive workflows. Strongest inside its own ecosystem, but less natural as a neutral control plane for cross-vendor, first-launch workflow and translational evidence.
Elekta incumbent Broad oncology-software platform linking workflow, interoperability, and planning. Custom enterprise pricing (not public). Established enterprise relationship and workflow touchpoints in radiation oncology. General-purpose platform breadth can dilute focus on niche modality-launch tasks and multi-disciplinary commissioning sequences.
Advarra OnCore incumbent Clinical-trial and protocol operations management for research sites. Custom enterprise pricing (not public). Strong fit for protocol and study administration inside academic centers. Does not own machine commissioning, dosimetry QA, or radiation-physics sign-off workflows.

Why incumbents do not win by default

  • Treatment planning and oncology information systems. Varian, Elekta, and RaySearch own planning and treatment records, but they do not win by default because first-program commissioning, combo-therapy timing, and cross-team evidence capture sit outside their core workflow.
  • CTMS and EHR vendors. OnCore and Epic can manage protocols and records, but they are not designed to run machine-readiness, dosimetry QA, and physics sign-off dependencies.
  • OEM professional services. Hardware vendors can help the first install succeed, but their services are usually single-vendor, high-touch, and weak at benchmarking or standardizing launch performance across centers.
  • In-house QA and project stack. Spreadsheets, binders, and home-grown scripts are flexible for pioneers, but they do not scale well for audit trails, multi-site learning, or multidisciplinary peer review.
Section

Business plan

This company should start as a launch OS for a very small but urgent buyer set: academic cancer centers preparing compact microbeam evaluations and first immune-combination protocols. The customer pain is operational, not dosimetric: once hardware exists, sites still need one audit-ready workflow for commissioning, tumor-board eligibility review, combination-therapy scheduling, QA sign-offs, and protocol evidence capture. The first sale should be a paid launch deployment to a DACH or Swiss center with a proton or experimental radiotherapy program and a signed microbeam evaluation project, sold jointly to the chief medical physicist and the radiation-oncology chair or COO. The wedge is attractive because incumbents split the work across TPS and OIS systems, CTMS tools, OEM services, and spreadsheets, so no default vendor owns first-program orchestration. The plan deliberately avoids clinical decision support, broad radiotherapy IT, and community-hospital rollout until the company proves it can shorten launch timelines and produce cleaner first-case evidence with read-only integrations. The microbeam-only market is too small and too timing-sensitive to justify a venture case on its own, so the first 12 months must test whether the same workflow sells into MR-linac, compact proton, or FLASH-style rollout programs. Market size, pricing, and SOM are modeled from analogs rather than transaction data, and the biggest current gap is the lack of named pre-2028 launch sites and direct proof of standalone budget ownership. Investors should treat this as a pre-seed workflow wedge worth watching closely, not yet a full partner-meeting case, until design-partner commitments and adjacent-modality reuse are verified.

Problem

  • Early microbeam sites still manage commissioning, case review, QA, and protocol evidence across disconnected TPS, OIS, CTMS, OEM, and spreadsheet workflows.
  • That fragmentation slows first-patient readiness, creates incomplete treatment packets, and weakens the audit trail needed for study, registry, and regulatory work.

Solution

  • Provide a vendor-neutral workspace that links commissioning tasks, physics QA sign-offs, protocol milestones, tumor-board eligibility review, and systemic-therapy coordination on one launch timeline.
  • Generate structured first-case packets, exportable evidence binders, and readiness dashboards so sites can treat early patients with fewer manual handoffs and clearer launch metrics.

Why we win

  • The company sits at the cross-functional boundary between machine readiness and patient treatment where incumbents and OEM services do not own a complete workflow.
  • Every launch compounds reusable playbooks and benchmark data on timelines, QA dependencies, case conversion, and multi-vendor coordination that single-site tools cannot replicate quickly.
Strategic choices
Beachhead DACH and Swiss academic cancer centers with proton or experimental radiotherapy programs that are preparing compact microbeam evaluations and need one workflow for commissioning, tumor-board review, and protocol evidence capture.
Wedge rationale This entry point creates faster proof than selling generic radiotherapy workflow software because the buyer already has a bounded launch event, a cross-disciplinary coordination problem, and a visible first-patient deadline. A narrow launch OS can show value on time to readiness, packet completeness, and audit quality before the company attempts broader modality management or routine-care workflow replacement.
Sequencing The company should start with read-only orchestration, case packets, protocol versioning, and evidence exports because those features solve the first-program problem without forcing centers to replace entrenched clinical systems or pushing the product into medical-device territory. Only after 2-3 paid launch programs prove ROI should the roadmap add deeper integrations, benchmark products, OEM bundles, and adjacent-modality templates.
Not yet Replacing TPS, OIS, CTMS, or EHR systems · Scoring patient eligibility or recommending treatment actions · Selling to community hospitals without translational physics teams · Building a broad oncology registry or referral network before launch-workflow proof exists
Go-to-market
Wedge Sell a paid launch OS for first-program readiness and first-case evidence capture rather than a generic AI assistant or a replacement radiotherapy stack.
Channels Founder-led direct sales to radiation-oncology chairs, chief medical physicists, and translational launch leads · Co-selling with novel-modality OEMs and installation teams that need sites clinically ready on schedule · PTCOG, AAPM, MR-linac, and translational-consortium relationships once the first launch case study exists
Funnel targets Lead→qualified design partner 15-25%, qualified design partner→paid pilot 25-35%, paid pilot→production 50%+, production site→second protocol or modality expansion within 12 months in 40%+ of converted accounts.
Pricing Charge a center-level annual subscription plus a one-time modality-launch fee and optional protocol or evidence modules. This matches buyer behavior because sites fund a bounded launch program first and renew only if the software compresses time to readiness and supports audits better than OEM services or manual coordination.
Product roadmap
MVP MVP is a vendor-neutral launch workspace with commissioning workplans, QA checklists, protocol versioning, multidisciplinary case packets, and exportable evidence logs. It should prove one site can coordinate microbeam launch work without replacing its planning, record, or study systems.
6 months Launch 2-3 design-partner pilots with read-only integrations, commissioning timelines, first-case packet generation, and dashboards for readiness status, incomplete tasks, and protocol evidence gaps.
12 months Convert the first pilots to production, release benchmark reporting across launch timelines and case-packet quality, and prove one adjacent-modality template for MR-linac or compact proton rollout.
24 months Offer a modality-agnostic launch OS across microbeam and the best-performing adjacent programs, with reusable integration playbooks, consortium reporting, and premium evidence modules.
Key bets Buyers will fund a standalone launch workflow before routine patient volume exists if the product shortens readiness timelines and cleans up audit evidence. · Read-only integrations are enough to win the first 2-3 sites without a multi-quarter replacement project. · Adjacent advanced-modality programs will reuse most of the same workflow model, making the market larger than microbeam alone. · Benchmark data on launch performance and case conversion will become more defensible than checklist automation by itself.
Business model
Revenue streams Annual cancer-center subscription · One-time modality-launch implementation fee · Protocol and evidence modules priced by active launch program · Benchmarking and consortium reporting modules
Unit of value One active novel-radiotherapy launch program at a cancer center, with expansion by additional protocols and modalities.
Target gross margin 70%
Expansion levers Add more protocols and launch teams within the same cancer center · Expand from microbeam into MR-linac, compact proton, FLASH, or other novel-modality rollouts · Sell benchmarking and evidence products to multi-site consortia or OEM channel partners · Standardize multi-center implementation playbooks that reduce deployment time on later accounts
Strategy map
North-star metric Median days from signed launch project to first audit-ready patient packet.
Input metrics Percent of commissioning tasks completed on schedule · Percent of candidate cases converted into complete treatment packets · Median days from hardware or protocol kickoff to commission-ready status · Paid pilot to annual production conversion rate · Percent of launch workflow reused in the first adjacent modality deployment
Moats to build Cross-site benchmark data on launch timelines, QA completion patterns, and first-case conversion · Reusable workflow templates that link physics QA, protocol milestones, and multidisciplinary review in one record · Vendor-neutral integration telemetry across TPS, OIS, CTMS, and OEM service environments
Kill criteria If fewer than 3 named Europe or North America launch sites commit to paid pilots or design-partner work within 12 months, the microbeam-first wedge is too early. · If the first 2 paid pilots do not reduce time to commission-ready status by at least 25% or keep incomplete first-case packets below 10%, the product is not materially better than manual coordination. · If one adjacent modality cannot reuse at least 80% of the core workflow with limited custom fields by month 18, the venture case is too narrow for the modeled TAM.

Milestones

0–12 months
  • Complete 15-20 buyer and partner interviews and sign 2-3 paid design-partner or pilot deployments.
  • Ship a read-only MVP covering commissioning workplans, case packets, protocol versioning, QA sign-offs, and evidence exports.
  • Prove at least one site-level KPI win on launch speed or packet completeness that supports annual renewal.
12–24 months
  • Convert 3-5 launch programs to annual subscriptions and publish benchmark reporting across launch timelines and case quality.
  • Validate one adjacent-modality template and one OEM or consortium co-sell motion.
  • Standardize an 8-12 week implementation playbook without crossing into patient-specific treatment recommendations.
24–36 months
  • Reach the researched year-3 SOM path of roughly 8 live launch programs at about $450K first-year spend or equivalent ARR mix.
  • Expand into the best-performing adjacent novel-modality category only if workflow reuse and renewal data remain strong.
  • Decide whether benchmark density justifies broader network products or whether the company should remain a focused launch OS.
Strategy map
flowchart LR
  Wedge[Microbeam launch wedge] --> MVP[Commissioning and case-packet MVP]
  MVP --> Proof[Faster readiness and audit-ready first cases]
  Proof --> Expansion[Adjacent modality expansion and benchmarks]

Founding team

Role Start timing Rationale
CEO founder Month 0 Owns founder-led sales, buyer discovery, pricing, and OEM or consortium relationship development while the category is still being defined.
Founding eng Month 0 Builds the workflow engine, evidence exports, audit logs, and the first read-only integrations that determine deployment speed.
Medical physics implementation lead Month 1 Encodes commissioning and QA workflows, runs concierge launches, and turns site-specific launch steps into repeatable templates.
Product and regulatory ops lead Month 3 Keeps roadmap discipline around workflow versus clinical decision support, manages protocol-versioning requirements, and shortens onboarding.
OEM partnerships lead Month 9 Adds channel capacity only after the company has a case study and a repeatable implementation playbook that partners can sell with confidence.

Experiment roadmap

Horizon Experiment Hypothesis Success metric Owner
0–90 days Interview 15 chief medical physicists, translational program managers, and OEM install leads in the beachhead segment. Buyers will describe the same urgent pain around commissioning dependencies, first-case packets, and audit-ready evidence capture. At least 10 interviews confirm a shared trigger and 5 provide current-state workflow maps or sample launch artifacts. CEO founder
0–90 days Run 2 concierge launch-mapping projects using one center or OEM workflow each before full software deployment. Even a semi-manual workflow layer can expose measurable launch delays and packet-quality gaps worth paying to fix. Two prospects receive baseline scorecards and at least one signs a paid pilot scope. Medical physics implementation lead
90–180 days Ship the first MVP with commissioning task graphs, case packets, protocol versioning, evidence exports, and read-only integrations. A center can go live without replacing TPS, OIS, or CTMS systems and still coordinate launch work materially better. First pilot live within 12 weeks and reporting weekly on readiness status, incomplete tasks, and case-packet completeness. Founding eng
90–180 days Test pricing as a launch fee plus annual subscription across 3 qualified opportunities. Buyers prefer a defined launch package with renewal criteria over an open-ended services engagement. At least 2 paid pilots signed and one buyer pre-approves annual pricing pending KPI success. CEO founder
180–360 days Deploy the workflow into one adjacent modality program such as MR-linac or compact proton. The product can expand beyond microbeam with mostly shared workflow objects and comparable buyer pain. One adjacent pilot launched with at least 80% workflow reuse and a credible second pipeline opportunity. Product and regulatory ops lead
180–540 days Launch one OEM or consortium co-sell motion after the first production case study. Channel partners can shorten trust-building and accelerate pipeline once the company has evidence of launch-timeline improvement. Partner-sourced opportunities reach at least 20% of qualified pipeline and produce one signed pilot. OEM partnerships lead

Risk assessment

Business plan risks — 5 mapped
Impact →
High
R3 R4
R1
Medium
R5
R2
Low
Low
Medium
High
Likelihood →
  1. R1Compact microbeam first-patient timelines slip beyond 2028 and delay the beachhead market. · Highlikelihood / Highimpact — Sell the same workflow into MR-linac, compact proton, or other novel-modality launches before relying on microbeam volume.
  2. R2Buyers prefer OEM services or bundled incumbent features over a new standalone workflow layer. · Highlikelihood / Mediumimpact — Differentiate on vendor-neutral orchestration, cross-site benchmarks, and evidence exports that single-vendor tools do not provide.
  3. R3Integration and change-management burden makes pilots too slow for a small team. · Mediumlikelihood / Highimpact — Start with read-only integrations, narrow the first workflow to launch-critical steps, and measure time-to-live as a board-level KPI.
  4. R4The product drifts into patient-specific recommendations and triggers heavier software regulation. · Mediumlikelihood / Highimpact — Keep humans in the loop, avoid treatment recommendations, and gate every roadmap addition through regulatory review.
  5. R5Standalone budget ownership remains ambiguous between the chair, COO, innovation office, and OEM package. · Mediumlikelihood / Mediumimpact — Sell bounded launch programs with explicit KPI scorecards and test both direct and OEM-assisted contracting paths early.
Risk Likelihood Impact Mitigation
Compact microbeam first-patient timelines slip beyond 2028 and delay the beachhead market. High High Sell the same workflow into MR-linac, compact proton, or other novel-modality launches before relying on microbeam volume.
Buyers prefer OEM services or bundled incumbent features over a new standalone workflow layer. High Medium Differentiate on vendor-neutral orchestration, cross-site benchmarks, and evidence exports that single-vendor tools do not provide.
Integration and change-management burden makes pilots too slow for a small team. Medium High Start with read-only integrations, narrow the first workflow to launch-critical steps, and measure time-to-live as a board-level KPI.
The product drifts into patient-specific recommendations and triggers heavier software regulation. Medium High Keep humans in the loop, avoid treatment recommendations, and gate every roadmap addition through regulatory review.
Standalone budget ownership remains ambiguous between the chair, COO, innovation office, and OEM package. Medium Medium Sell bounded launch programs with explicit KPI scorecards and test both direct and OEM-assisted contracting paths early.
First customer
Title Chief medical physicist or translational launch lead at a DACH academic cancer center evaluating compact microbeam
Profile Comprehensive cancer center with an in-house medical physics team, prior advanced-radiotherapy experience, and a signed evaluation or study plan for compact microbeam or a closely related translational program.
Trigger A decision to host a prototype, open a first-in-human protocol, or launch a radiation-plus-immunotherapy pilot that forces physics, oncology, and study teams onto one shared timeline.
Buyer Chair of radiation oncology or cancer center COO
Initial contract $200K-$450K first-year contract combining a launch fee and annual software subscription, converting to roughly $150K-$300K ARR plus protocol or evidence modules once the program is live.

What must be true

  • At least 3 Europe or North America centers with active microbeam evaluation plans must commit to paid launch pilots before the category reaches routine patient volume.
  • Buyers must fund $200K-$450K of first-year spend from launch or innovation budgets before recurring patient throughput exists.
  • The product must cut launch timelines by at least 25% or keep incomplete first-case packets below 10% versus spreadsheet or OEM-service baselines.
  • An adjacent modality such as MR-linac or compact proton must reuse most of the workflow without a ground-up rebuild.
  • The product must remain workflow and evidence infrastructure rather than patient-specific clinical decision support.

Open diligence questions

  • Which named centers already have signed compact microbeam evaluation projects and what workflow stack do they use today?
  • Does budget ownership sit with the radiation-oncology chair, the innovation office, the chief physicist, or inside an OEM implementation package?
  • What KPI threshold would make a site renew after the first launch year instead of reverting to OEM services and spreadsheets?
  • How much of the workflow can be reused across MR-linac or compact proton commissioning without custom product work?
  • What regulatory position will counsel and buyer compliance teams take if the product assists eligibility review or combination-therapy timing?
Investor verdict
Call Watch
Conviction Strong workflow pain and a coherent wedge, but conviction should stay low until named launch sites and adjacent-modality reuse are proven.
Why believe The company targets a real first-program bottleneck that incumbents fragment across planning, records, protocol systems, and manual QA work.
Why doubt The installed base, budget authority, and timing for compact microbeam are all too uncertain today for a microbeam-only software company to clear a venture bar.
Next diligence Secure 2-3 paid design partners or OEM-backed pilots and prove the same workflow also fits at least one adjacent advanced-modality launch.
Section

Financial model

3-year totals
Year 1 revenue $396K EBITDA $-730K · Cash EOP $1.27M
Year 2 revenue $1.32M EBITDA $-814K · Cash EOP $456K
Year 3 revenue $2.69M EBITDA $-262K · Cash EOP $194K
Unit economics
ARPU (annual) $390K
Gross margin 72%
CAC $120K Payback 5.1 months
LTV / CAC 7.8x LTV $936K
Funding ask
Round pre-seed · $2.0M
Runway 30 months
Milestone Reach 4 annualized production centers, validate one adjacent-modality template, launch benchmark reporting, and standardize an 8-12 week deployment playbook before the seed round.

Model sanity

  • Revenue engine. Base revenue comes from moving from 3 paid pilots in Y1 to 8 live launch programs by Q4Y3 while blended site revenue rises toward the researched $450K first-year spend range.
  • Must go right. Adjacent-modality reuse has to begin by month 18 so the company can grow from 4 production centers in late Y2 to 8 live programs in Y3 without a ground-up rebuild.
  • Model breaks if. The base case only bottoms at about $0.1M of cash, so a 12-month sales cycle or sub-68% gross margin likely forces a bridge before Q4Y3.
  • Next-round proof. A seed-ready story is 4 annualized production centers, one adjacent modality template, benchmark reporting, and an 8-12 week deployment playbook by late Y2.
Revenue, cash, and EBITDA — 12-month Y1 + 8-quarter Y2/Y3
$0K$500K$1.00M$1.50M$2.00MM1M4M7M10Q1Y2Q4Y2Q3Y3Q4Y3
  • Revenue (line, area)
  • Cash EOP (dashed)
  • EBITDA (bars, gray = loss)
Use of funds — $2.0M pre-seed
Engineering · 45% GTM · 22.5% G&A · 10% Buffer (6 mo) · 22.5%
Headcount build by role — peak11 FTE
Q1Y13Q2Y14Q3Y15Q4Y16Q1Y26Q2Y26Q3Y26Q4Y29Q1Y39Q2Y39Q3Y39Q4Y311
  • Founder/CEO
  • Engineering
  • Implementation
  • Product/regulatory
  • OEM/GTM
  • G&A/Ops
Year-3 scenarios — base / downside / upside
Y3 revenueY3 EBITDACash low pointDescription
Downside$1.90M-$868K-$661KMicrobeam launch timing slips, adjacent-modality reuse lands later, and launch programs stay more services-heavy than planned.
Base$2.69M-$262K$99KThree paid pilots in Y1 become 4 production centers by late Y2 and 8 live launch programs by Q4Y3 as adjacent-modality reuse begins.
Upside$3.41M$319K$549KOEM and consortium channels open sooner, adjacent-modality templates convert faster, and modules lift blended site revenue.
Sensitivity — Y3 cash and revenue impact, sorted by magnitude
VariableDownsideUpsideCash impactRevenue impact
sales cycle12-month average cycle from discovery to signed program6-month average cycle-$435K-$303K
ARPU$350K blended annual revenue per live center$430K blended annual revenue per live center-$310K-$269K
churn4.0% monthly churn as sites treat the product as one-off launch tooling1.5% monthly churn with strong module expansion and benchmark lock-in-$243K-$339K
hiring pacePull forward Eng4 and GTM2 before repeatability is provenDelay one non-core hire until the adjacent-modality template closes its first deal-$188K-$50K
CAC$150K CAC because each win still needs heavy founder and implementation effort$90K CAC through OEM and consortium referrals-$180K$0K
gross margin68% steady-state GM because launch work stays bespoke74% steady-state GM-$168K$0K

Scenarios

Scenario Y3 revenue Y3 EBITDA Cash low point Description Key changes
Downside $1.90M $-868K $-661K Microbeam launch timing slips, adjacent-modality reuse lands later, and launch programs stay more services-heavy than planned.
  • End-Y2 annual-production sites fall from 4 to 3.
  • End-Y3 live programs fall from 8 to 6.
  • Blended annual revenue per live center tops out near $350K instead of $390K.
  • Gross margin only reaches 70% by late Y3 because implementation work stays bespoke.
Base $2.69M $-262K $99K Three paid pilots in Y1 become 4 production centers by late Y2 and 8 live launch programs by Q4Y3 as adjacent-modality reuse begins.
  • No change from A1-A23 base assumptions.
Upside $3.41M $319K $549K OEM and consortium channels open sooner, adjacent-modality templates convert faster, and modules lift blended site revenue.
  • End-Y2 annual-production sites rise from 4 to 5.
  • End-Y3 live programs rise from 8 to 9.
  • Blended annual revenue per live center reaches about $430K.
  • Gross margin reaches 74% as read-only launch templates become reusable earlier.

Sensitivity

Variable Downside Base Upside
ARPU $350K blended annual revenue per live center $390K blended annual revenue per live center $430K blended annual revenue per live center
CAC $150K CAC because each win still needs heavy founder and implementation effort $120K CAC $90K CAC through OEM and consortium referrals
churn 4.0% monthly churn as sites treat the product as one-off launch tooling 2.5% monthly churn 1.5% monthly churn with strong module expansion and benchmark lock-in
sales cycle 12-month average cycle from discovery to signed program 9-month average cycle 6-month average cycle
gross margin 68% steady-state GM because launch work stays bespoke 72% steady-state GM 74% steady-state GM
hiring pace Pull forward Eng4 and GTM2 before repeatability is proven Current lean ramp tied to pilot delivery milestones Delay one non-core hire until the adjacent-modality template closes its first deal
Key assumptions (23)
ID Name Value Unit Source
A1 Model start month 2026-07 month [BP date 2026-06-16]; model starts the first full month after the plan date.
A2 Starting cash after pre-seed close 2000 USDK [BP fundingAsk targetFundingRangeUsd $2-4M]; base case uses the low end because the modeled plan reaches the late-Y2 proof point plus a 6-month buffer.
A3 Year-1 paying pilot sites at end of period 3 sites [BP milestones 0-12 months] and [BP investorMemo.firstCustomer]; base case uses 3 paid pilots by M12.
A4 Year-2 annual-production sites at end of period 4 sites [BP milestones 12-24 months]; base case uses the midpoint of the 3-5 converted launch-program target by Q4Y2.
A5 Year-3 live programs at end of period 8 programs [BP milestones 24-36 months] and [Research market.som rationale].
A6 Customer acquisition ramp M5 first paid pilot, M8 second, M11 third, Q3Y2 fourth, Q2Y3 sixth active program, and Q4Y3 eighth active program. timing [BP gtm.funnelTargets], [BP milestones], and [Research reportMemo.validationPlan].
A7 Blended monthly revenue per active program ramp $24K pilot months in Y1, $29-34K across Y2, and $35-39K across Y3. USDK per active site per month [BP investorMemo.firstCustomer.initialContract], [BP businessModel.revenueStreams], and [Research market.som rationale].
A8 COGS and gross-margin ramp 35% COGS in Y1, 32% in H1Y2, 30% in H2Y2, 29% in H1Y3, and 28% in H2Y3. percent of revenue [BP businessModel.targetGrossMarginPct 70] plus startup-finance heuristic that launch workflows become less services-heavy after templates and integrations are reused.
A9 Founder/CEO loaded cash compensation 180 USDK annualized per FTE Startup-finance heuristic for a Europe-based pre-seed B2B health-tech founder taking below-market cash pay.
A10 Engineering loaded cash compensation 170 USDK annualized per FTE Startup-finance heuristic for early workflow and integration engineers with payroll tax and benefits.
A11 Medical physics implementation loaded cash compensation 160 USDK annualized per FTE [BP team medical physics implementation lead] plus startup-finance heuristic for a domain expert carrying delivery and template work.
A12 Product and regulatory ops loaded cash compensation 150 USDK annualized per FTE [BP team product and regulatory ops lead] plus startup-finance heuristic for an early compliance and product-ops operator.
A13 OEM and GTM loaded cash compensation 165 USDK annualized per FTE [BP team OEM partnerships lead] plus startup-finance heuristic for a pre-seed partnerships and enterprise-sales hire.
A14 G&A and ops loaded cash compensation 125 USDK annualized per FTE Startup-finance heuristic for finance, legal, and operations support in a lean pre-seed company.
A15 Hiring ramp Implementation lead starts M2, product/reg ops M4, second engineer M7, OEM/GTM M10, third engineer M14, second implementation FTE M16, ops M19, second GTM FTE M26, and fourth engineer M31. timing [BP team startTiming] plus a conservative staffing heuristic tied to pilot delivery and adjacent-modality expansion.
A16 Non-payroll sales and marketing spend ramp $5-8K per month in Y1, $10-14K in Y2, and $16-18K in Y3. USDK per month [BP gtm.channels] plus startup-finance heuristic for travel-heavy founder-led enterprise selling.
A17 Non-payroll R&D and compliance tooling spend ramp $8-11K per month in Y1, $12-14K in Y2, and $15-16K in Y3. USDK per month [BP operations], [Research regulatoryTechnicalConstraints], and startup-finance heuristic for cloud, security, and integration tooling.
A18 Non-payroll G&A spend ramp $4-6K per month in Y1, $6-8K in Y2, and $9-10K in Y3. USDK per month Startup-finance heuristic for legal, accounting, insurance, and data-privacy overhead.
A19 Steady-state blended annual revenue per live center 390 USDK per year [BP investorMemo.firstCustomer.initialContract] and [Research market.som rationale]; base case sits below the $450K first-year SOM figure to reflect a mix of renewals and module expansion.
A20 Steady-state CAC 120 USDK per live center [BP gtm.funnelTargets] and narrow founder-led enterprise-sales heuristic.
A21 Steady-state monthly churn 2.5 percent Startup-finance heuristic; launch programs are sticky once embedded, but renewal risk is higher than horizontal SaaS because centers may treat each modality launch as episodic.
A22 Cash conversion assumption EBITDA is used as a proxy for cash movement. policy Startup-finance heuristic; the model assumes no debt and limited capex, with working-capital swings netting out.
A23 Next-round proof point By late Y2 the company needs 4 annualized production centers, one adjacent-modality template, benchmark reporting, and an 8-12 week deployment playbook. milestone [BP milestones 12-24 months], [BP strategicChoices.sequencingRationale], and [Research reportMemo.executiveTakeaways].
unit economics flow
flowchart LR
  TargetCenters --> PaidPilots
  PaidPilots --> LivePrograms
  LivePrograms --> LicenseRevenue
  LivePrograms --> LaunchFees
  LivePrograms --> ModuleExpansion
  LicenseRevenue --> Revenue
  LaunchFees --> Revenue
  ModuleExpansion --> Revenue
  Revenue --> GrossProfit
  GrossProfit --> Salary
  GrossProfit --> Opex
  GrossProfit --> Cash

Flags: Base case cash bottoms near $0.1M in Q3Y3, so even a 1-2 quarter sales slip likely needs a bridge or a larger seed. · The model assumes adjacent-modality reuse works by month 18; if not, the microbeam-only wedge is too narrow for the Y3 revenue path. · Eight live programs inside a roughly 30-center SAM means revenue concentration stays high and the first 2-3 references matter disproportionately. · Gross margin has to improve from 65% in Y1 to roughly 72% in Y3; slower template reuse would pressure both runway and next-round readiness.

Section

Top risks

  • Category timing risk. If compact microbeam systems reach clinical sites later than the stated timeline, the beachhead market may mature more slowly than expected. Mitigation: Start with centers and OEMs already funding translational launch work, and design the workflow to support adjacent novel-radiotherapy programs before microbeam volume arrives.
  • Heterogeneous clinical evidence. Immune-response and combination-therapy benefits may vary by tumor type and protocol, which can make one-size-fits-all workflow assumptions dangerous. Mitigation: Keep the product configurable around protocol design and evidence capture, and position it as an execution layer rather than a source of clinical efficacy claims.
  • Incumbent stack squeeze. Treatment-planning vendors or device OEMs could bundle lightweight commissioning tools to defend the account. Mitigation: Integrate into incumbent systems while owning the cross-functional orchestration, benchmarking, and multi-center evidence layer that single-vendor tools do not provide.
Section

Evidence

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